أسعار الخام مدعومة مع استمرار إغلاق مضيق هرمز

September WTI crude oil (CLU26) is up +0.19 (+0.23%) today, and September RBOB gasoline (RBU26) is down -0.0376 (-1.20%).

Crude oil and gasoline prices are mixed today, with crude oil climbing to a 1-week high. The lack of an agreement between Iran and Oman to reopen the Strait of Hormuz is limiting crude supplies from the Middle East and is underpinning oil prices. However, crude fell from its high and gasoline turned negative after Pakistan signaled the US and Iran were close to an arrangement that could reopen the Strait of Hormuz.

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Crude prices fell from a 1-week high today when Al Jazeera said that talks between Oman and Iran to reopen the Strait of Hormuz have reached an advanced stage. Pakistani defense minister Khawaja Asif said today that signals in the "last two to three days are that we are close to some sort of agreement."

Crude prices initially jumped to a 1-week high today after President Trump late Monday hardened his stance toward Iran, making it unlikely there will soon be a deal to reopen the Strait of Hormuz. In response to Iran's demand for compensation for war damages, President Trump said he will "demand compensation from Iran for people killed and wounded with roadside bombs and many conflicts to people in Lebanon, Syria, Yemen and Gaza over the last 50 years."

The risk of a renewed flare-up across the Middle East remains high, as another UAE tanker was targeted by a missile on Saturday while transiting the Strait of Hormuz. Also, on Sunday, Houthi militants in Yemen claimed an attack on Saudi Arabia's Jazan refinery. The Houthis said they will escalate attacks on Saudi oil tankers in the northern Red Sea to prevent them from transiting the area.

Traffic through the Strait of Hormuz remains slow, tightening global crude supplies and boosting oil prices. Energy Aspects said on Monday that only an average of five vessels are transiting through the strait, far below the 14 ships a day seen after the US and Iran reached a memorandum of understanding in June.

Crude prices also have support as Ukraine intensifies drone attacks on Russian oil infrastructure. Ukraine has attacked Russian refineries, oil tankers, and major pipeline infrastructure at least 30 times in July, the second highest monthly number of attacks since the war began in 2022. According to EA Analytics, Russian crude-processing rates will average 3.51 million bpd in July, the lowest in 24 years, amid damage to Russian energy infrastructure caused by drone and missile attacks from Ukraine. As of the end of June, around 90% of Russian regions have imposed some form of fuel rationing or reported supply issues, as refining capacity has plunged following damage to facilities. The strikes have deepened a nationwide gasoline shortage, with several major refineries shut down and the government banning almost all gasoline, jet fuel and diesel exports. Russia is the world's number two diesel exporter, after the US, according to Vortexa.